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Using
Food as a Lever to reduce Birth Rates in Poor Countries |
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Sorted by Dominant
Culture |
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If a country has a
low GDP/capita, a high birth rate, and needs to import a lot of food,
leverage exists to reduce its birth rate. |
The relative need to import
food is indicated by (arable land)*(pop/(arable land) - i23 ) since the
average km2 |
of arable land now feeds i23
people. A negative result (red)
indicates how many individuals need to be fed |
with the imported food. Many
countries will need to approach 1 birth/woman to improve GDP/capita
significantly. |
One birth per woman is about:
500/(life expectancy at birth) or 7.7 births/1000 at LE = 65. |
i23 = |
329 |
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Potential to |
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Mean |
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Pop/ |
Export (black) |
Need |
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PPP |
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Arable |
Arable |
Arable |
or Import (red) |
Food |
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Pop. |
GDP |
GDP/ |
Land |
Land |
Pop/ |
Food for |
in Red |
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|
Summary Table |
Culture |
Millions |
$Billions |
capita |
% |
Sq Km |
Sq Km |
Individuals |
% |
|
|
sub-Saharan |
African |
434.74 |
1,027.11 |
2,363 |
12.05 |
843,086 |
516 |
(157,236,860) |
(36.2) |
|
|
Buddhist |
1,753.07 |
15,470.48 |
8,825 |
18.45 |
1,794,160 |
977 |
(1,162,513,161) |
(66.3) |
|
|
Inc. Latin Am. |
Christian |
1,247.95 |
28,440.10 |
22,789 |
16.30 |
4,495,073 |
278 |
231,629,498 |
18.6 |
|
|
Hindu |
1,123.64 |
3,650.90 |
3,249 |
32.45 |
1,474,818 |
762 |
(638,193,267) |
(56.8) |
|
|
Inc. N Africa |
Muslim |
1,150.92 |
4,528.47 |
3,935 |
13.96 |
1,830,950 |
629 |
(548,251,498) |
(47.6) |
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|
Orthodox |
211.91 |
2,113.00 |
9,971 |
33.49 |
1,634,351 |
130 |
326,049,244 |
153.9 |
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|
Sample |
5,922.24 |
55,230.06 |
9,326 |
16.53 |
12,072,438 |
491 |
(1,948,516,043) |
(32.9) |
|
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Others |
602.93 |
5,479.94 |
9,089 |
|
7,751,476 |
78 |
1,948,516,043 |
323.17 |
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|
World |
6,525.17 |
60,710.00 |
9,304 |
13.31 |
19,823,914 |
329 |
0 |
0.00 |
|
|
Latin Am. |
449.21 |
3,983.90 |
8,869 |
5.71 |
1,206,482 |
372 |
(52,088,537) |
(11.6) |
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Potential to |
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Pop/ |
Export (black) |
Need |
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PPP |
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Arable |
Arable |
Arable |
or Import (red) |
Food |
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Dominant |
Pop. |
GDP |
GDP/ |
Land |
Land |
Pop/ |
Food for |
in Red |
|
# |
Country |
Culture |
Millions |
$Billions |
capita |
% |
Sq Km |
Sq Km |
Individuals |
% |
|
1 |
Cameroon |
African |
17.34 |
40.83 |
2,355 |
12.54 |
58,868 |
295 |
2,036,009 |
11.7 |
|
2 |
Congo, Dem. R. |
African |
62.66 |
40.67 |
649 |
2.86 |
64,853 |
966 |
(41,313,646) |
(65.9) |
|
3 |
Cote d'Ivoire |
African |
17.65 |
28.52 |
1,615 |
10.23 |
32,531 |
543 |
(6,946,921) |
(39.3) |
|
4 |
Ghana |
African |
22.41 |
54.45 |
2,430 |
17.54 |
40,507 |
553 |
(9,076,471) |
(40.5) |
|
5 |
Kenya |
African |
34.71 |
37.15 |
1,070 |
8.01 |
45,597 |
761 |
(19,699,293) |
(56.8) |
|
6 |
Madagascar |
African |
18.60 |
16.36 |
880 |
5.03 |
29,251 |
636 |
(8,967,160) |
(48.2) |
|
7 |
Mozambique |
African |
19.69 |
26.03 |
1,322 |
5.43 |
42,576 |
462 |
(5,672,310) |
(28.8) |
|
8 |
Nigeria |
African |
131.86 |
174.10 |
1,320 |
33.02 |
300,736 |
438 |
(32,870,658) |
(24.9) |
|
9 |
South Africa |
African |
44.19 |
533.20 |
12,067 |
12.10 |
147,609 |
299 |
4,398,940 |
10.0 |
|
10 |
Tanzania |
African |
37.45 |
27.07 |
723 |
4.23 |
37,479 |
999 |
(25,108,816) |
(67.1) |
|
11 |
Uganda |
African |
28.20 |
48.73 |
1,728 |
21.57 |
43,077 |
655 |
(14,016,533) |
(49.7) |
|
12 |
China |
Buddhist |
1,313.97 |
8,859.00 |
6,742 |
14.86 |
1,385,905 |
948 |
(857,794,240) |
(65.3) |
|
13 |
Japan |
Buddhist |
127.46 |
4,018.00 |
31,523 |
11.64 |
43,620 |
2,922 |
(113,105,738) |
(88.7) |
|
14 |
Korea, North |
Buddhist |
23.11 |
40.00 |
1,731 |
22.40 |
26,972 |
857 |
(14,235,063) |
(61.6) |
|
15 |
Korea, South |
Buddhist |
48.85 |
965.30 |
19,762 |
16.58 |
16,280 |
3,000 |
(43,488,188) |
(89.0) |
|
16 |
Myanmar |
Buddhist |
47.38 |
78.74 |
1,662 |
14.92 |
98,135 |
483 |
(15,080,924) |
(31.8) |
|
17 |
Sri Lanka |
Buddhist |
20.22 |
85.34 |
4,220 |
13.96 |
9,038 |
2,238 |
(17,247,421) |
(85.3) |
|
18 |
Taiwan |
Buddhist |
23.04 |
631.20 |
27,400 |
24.00 |
7,742 |
2,975 |
(20,487,626) |
(88.9) |
|
19 |
Thailand |
Buddhist |
64.63 |
560.70 |
8,675 |
27.54 |
140,941 |
459 |
(18,239,799) |
(28.2) |
|
20 |
Vietnam |
Buddhist |
84.40 |
232.20 |
2,751 |
20.14 |
65,528 |
1,288 |
(62,834,163) |
(74.4) |
|
21 |
Australia |
Christian |
20.26 |
640.10 |
31,588 |
6.15 |
468,503 |
43 |
133,946,622 |
661.0 |
|
22 |
Canada |
Christian |
33.10 |
1,114.00 |
33,657 |
4.57 |
415,573 |
80 |
103,689,708 |
313.3 |
|
23 |
France |
Christian |
60.88 |
1,816.00 |
29,831 |
33.46 |
182,568 |
333 |
(782,760) |
(1.3) |
|
24 |
Germany |
Christian |
82.42 |
2,504.00 |
30,380 |
33.13 |
115,698 |
712 |
(44,339,689) |
(53.8) |
|
25 |
Italy |
Christian |
58.13 |
1,698.00 |
29,209 |
26.41 |
77,651 |
749 |
(32,574,283) |
(56.0) |
|
26 |
Netherlands |
Christian |
16.49 |
499.80 |
30,307 |
21.96 |
7,441 |
2,216 |
(14,042,304) |
(85.1) |
|
27 |
Philippines |
Christian |
89.47 |
451.30 |
5,044 |
19.00 |
56,652 |
1,579 |
(70,821,205) |
(79.2) |
|
28 |
Poland |
Christian |
38.54 |
514.00 |
13,338 |
40.25 |
122,547 |
314 |
1,800,325 |
4.7 |
|
29 |
Spain |
Christian |
40.40 |
1,029.00 |
25,472 |
27.18 |
135,776 |
298 |
4,293,550 |
10.6 |
|
30 |
United Kingdom |
Christian |
60.61 |
1,830.00 |
30,193 |
23.23 |
56,121 |
1,080 |
(42,136,444) |
(69.5) |
|
31 |
United States |
Christian |
298.44 |
12,360.00 |
41,415 |
18.01 |
1,650,062 |
181 |
244,684,515 |
82.0 |
|
32 |
Argentina |
Christian LA |
39.92 |
518.10 |
12,978 |
10.03 |
274,490 |
145 |
50,428,335 |
126.3 |
|
33 |
Brazil |
Christian LA |
188.08 |
1,556.00 |
8,273 |
6.93 |
586,036 |
321 |
4,819,374 |
2.6 |
|
34 |
Chile |
Christian LA |
16.13 |
187.10 |
11,596 |
2.62 |
19,619 |
822 |
(9,676,643) |
(60.0) |
|
35 |
Colombia |
Christian LA |
43.59 |
337.50 |
7,742 |
2.01 |
20,878 |
2,088 |
(36,720,949) |
(84.2) |
|
36 |
Mexico |
Christian LA |
107.45 |
1,067.00 |
9,930 |
12.66 |
243,457 |
441 |
(27,314,118) |
(25.4) |
|
37 |
Peru |
Christian LA |
28.30 |
164.50 |
5,812 |
2.88 |
36,864 |
768 |
(16,168,578) |
(57.1) |
|
38 |
Venezuela |
Christian LA |
25.73 |
153.70 |
5,973 |
2.85 |
25,138 |
1,024 |
(17,455,959) |
(67.8) |
|
39 |
India |
Hindu |
1,095.35 |
3,611.00 |
3,297 |
48.83 |
1,451,809 |
754 |
(617,479,743) |
(56.4) |
|
40 |
Nepal |
Hindu |
28.29 |
39.90 |
1,411 |
16.07 |
23,009 |
1,229 |
(20,713,524) |
(73.2) |
|
41 |
Afghanistan |
Muslim |
31.06 |
21.50 |
692 |
12.13 |
78,542 |
395 |
(5,204,470) |
(16.8) |
|
42 |
Algeria |
Muslim |
32.93 |
233.20 |
7,082 |
3.17 |
75,501 |
436 |
(8,078,395) |
(24.5) |
|
43 |
Bangladesh |
Muslim |
147.37 |
304.30 |
2,065 |
55.39 |
74,173 |
1,987 |
(122,950,910) |
(83.4) |
|
44 |
Egypt |
Muslim |
78.89 |
303.50 |
3,847 |
2.92 |
29,067 |
2,714 |
(69,319,369) |
(87.9) |
|
45 |
Ethiopia |
Muslim |
74.78 |
62.88 |
841 |
10.01 |
112,080 |
667 |
(37,886,033) |
(50.7) |
|
46 |
Indonesia |
Muslim |
245.45 |
865.60 |
3,527 |
11.03 |
201,456 |
1,218 |
(179,142,079) |
(73.0) |
|
47 |
Iran |
Muslim |
68.69 |
561.60 |
8,176 |
9.78 |
160,001 |
429 |
(16,023,131) |
(23.3) |
|
48 |
Iraq |
Muslim |
26.78 |
94.10 |
3,513 |
13.12 |
56,700 |
472 |
(8,120,324) |
(30.3) |
|
49 |
Kazakhstan |
Muslim |
15.23 |
124.30 |
8,160 |
8.28 |
221,059 |
69 |
57,529,906 |
377.7 |
|
50 |
Malaysia |
Muslim |
24.39 |
290.20 |
11,900 |
5.46 |
17,939 |
1,359 |
(18,481,176) |
(75.8) |
|
51 |
Morocco |
Muslim |
33.24 |
138.30 |
4,160 |
19.00 |
84,797 |
392 |
(5,329,776) |
(16.0) |
|
52 |
Pakistan |
Muslim |
165.80 |
393.40 |
2,373 |
24.44 |
190,319 |
871 |
(103,158,770) |
(62.2) |
|
53 |
Saudi Arabia |
Muslim |
27.02 |
338.00 |
12,509 |
1.67 |
32,742 |
825 |
(16,242,581) |
(60.1) |
|
54 |
Sudan |
Muslim |
41.24 |
85.65 |
2,077 |
6.78 |
161,093 |
256 |
11,788,363 |
28.6 |
|
55 |
Syria |
Muslim |
18.88 |
72.33 |
3,831 |
24.80 |
45,644 |
414 |
(3,857,210) |
(20.4) |
|
56 |
Turkey |
Muslim |
70.41 |
572.00 |
8,123 |
29.81 |
229,764 |
306 |
5,214,208 |
7.4 |
|
57 |
Uzbekistan |
Muslim |
27.31 |
48.24 |
1,767 |
10.51 |
44,710 |
611 |
(12,590,699) |
(46.1) |
|
58 |
Yemen |
Muslim |
21.46 |
19.37 |
903 |
2.91 |
15,364 |
1,397 |
(16,399,052) |
(76.4) |
|
59 |
Romania |
Orthodox |
22.30 |
183.60 |
8,232 |
39.49 |
90,961 |
245 |
7,636,939 |
34.2 |
|
60 |
Russia |
Orthodox |
142.89 |
1,589.00 |
11,120 |
7.17 |
1,218,599 |
117 |
258,216,187 |
180.7 |
|
61 |
Ukraine |
Orthodox |
46.71 |
340.40 |
7,287 |
53.80 |
324,791 |
144 |
60,196,119 |
128.9 |
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Sum or Average |
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5,922.24 |
55,230.06 |
9,326 |
16.53 |
12,072,438 |
491 |
(1,948,516,043) |
(32.9) |
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Others |
|
602.93 |
5,479.94 |
9,089 |
|
7,751,476 |
78 |
1,948,516,043 |
323.2 |
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World |
|
6,525.17 |
60,710.00 |
9,304 |
13.31 |
19,823,914 |
329 |
0 |
0.0 |
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Sample/World, % |
|
90.76 |
90.97 |
100.24 |
124.21 |
60.90 |
149.04 |
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Notes: |
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1.
On average, the world is feeding about |
329 |
people per square kilometer of arable land. |
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2. Nations
with less than the mean |
329 |
people/sq km of arable land can potentially feed the
difference, |
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black figures in the last column. |
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3. Figures in red indicate
the number of people to be fed by imported food. |
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4. Several wealthy countries
can afford to import much of the food they use. |
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