Options for sub-Saharan African countries of at least 15 million to reach about $20,000/capita
04/17/07 Energy Energy
Births Use Efficiency Peak Peak Minimum First Stable Stable
Dominant Change Multiple Multiple Pop. Pop. GDP/c Stable Pop. GDP/c
Culture per year per Year per Year Year Millions $/person/yr Year Millions $/person/yr
African 1 (0.2462) 1.00 1.00 2086 1,025 1,002 2440 51 19,965
African 2 (0.2462) 1.01 1.01 2086 1,025 2,171 2364 111 19,972
African 3 (0.6000) 1.00 1.00 2040 625 1,643 2344 52 19,935
African 4 (0.6000) 1.01 1.01 2040 625 2,360 2269 110 20,201
Conclusions:
1. Reducing the birth rate and increasing energy consumption and efficiency will be fastest.
2. These estimates assume that energy consumption and efficiency are limited.